April 2006

Human irrationality?

Amy Perfors

I've posted before about the "irrational" reasoning people use in some contexts, and how it might stem from applying cognitive heuristics to situations they were not evolved to cover. Lest we fall into the depths of despair about human irrationality, I thought I'd talk about another view on this issue, this time showing that people may be less irrational than the gloom-and-doom views might suggest.

In...

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999

Felix Elwert

Why did people code their missing values as real numbers such as 999 in the old days? Why not “." from the get go? And why do many big, federally funded surveys insist on numerical missing values to this day?

Don’t we all have stories about how funny missing value codes (“-8") got people in trouble (think The Bell Curve)? Are there any anecdotes where people got in trouble for mistaking “." for a legitimate observation?

Posted by Felix Elwert...

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Inauthentic Paper Detector

Sebastian Bauhoff

A group at the Indiana School of Informatics has developed a software to detect whether a document is "human written and authentic or not." The idea was inspired by the successful attempt of MIT students in 2004 to place a computer-generated document at a conference (see here). Their program collated random fragments of computer science speak into a short paper that was accepted at a major...

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Data from China: Land of Plenty? (II)

Sebastian Bauhoff

In the last entry I wrote that China is the new exciting trend for researchers interested in development issues. There are now a number of surveys available, and it is getting easier to obtain data. (For a short list, see here.) However there are two key issues that are still pervasive: language difficulties and little sharing of experiences.

While some Chinese surveys are available in English translation, it is...

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Open and Transparent Data

You, Jong-Sung

There was a big scandal in scientific research recently. Dr. Hwang Woo-suk, Seoul National University in Korea, announced last June that he and his team had cloned human embryonic stem cells from 11 patients. It was a remarkable breakthrough in stem cell research and many people expected that he would eventually get a Nobel Prize. Hwang's team, however, was found to have intentionally fabricated key data in two landmark papers on human embryonic stem cells, according to a Seoul National University panel. Now, the prosecution is probing into his...

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Applied Statistics - Brian Ripley

This week the Applied Statistics Workshop will present a talk by Brian Ripley, Professor of Applied Statistics at the University of Oxford. Professor Ripley received his Ph.D. from the University of Cambridge and has been on the faculties of Imperial College, Strathclyde, and Oxford. His current research interests are in pattern recognition and related areas, although he has worked extensively in spatial statistics and simulation, and continues to maintain an interest in those subjects. New statistical methods need good software if they...

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The 80% Rule, Part I

Jim Greiner

I’ve blogged previously about the course in statistics and law I’m co-teaching this semester (see, for example, here). The course is now in its second simulation, which deals with employment discrimination. In a recent class, the 80% rule came up. I wish it hadn’t. In fact, I wish the ``rule�? had never seen the light of day. In this post, I’ll explain what the 80% rule is. In a subsequent post, I’ll explain why it stinks.

Suppose we’re interested in...

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The Language of Research

Drew Thomas

It seems that the difficulty in learning languages isn't always restricted to spoken words. A recent article in the New York Times ("Searching For Dummies", March 26 - here's a link, though it's for pay now) quotes an Israeli study which demonstrates the ineptitude of graduate students in making specific Internet searches in 2002.

Now, I know a lot has happened in the world of search engines in the last 4 years, and I admit my bias in being an...

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