I. Descriptive Inference
- Introduction
- Overview and Course Requirements
- Course Outline
- Introductory Sampling Activity
- Descriptive Questions
- Describing Univariate Populations
- Describing Bivariate and Multivariate Populations
- Summarization with Bivariate and Multivariate Regression
- Randomly Sampled Observations and Basic Probability
- Elementary Probability Theory
- Random Variables and Functions of Random Variables (Expectation, Variance, ...)
- Joint and Conditional Distributions
- Random Samples and Descriptive Inference (Univariate)
- Simple Random Sampling (with and without replacement)
- Distribution of the Sample as an Estimate of the Population Distribution
- Sample Statistics
- Sampling Distributions
- Point Estimation
- Interval Estimation (i.e., confidence intervals)
- Hypothesis Testing
- Random Samples and Descriptive Inference (Regression)
- Simple Random Sampling (with and without replacement)
- Stratified Random Sampling (with and without replacement)
- Distribution of the Sample as an Estimate of the Population Distribution
- Sample Statistics and Sampling Distributions
- Point Estimation and Interval Estimation
- Hypothesis Testing
- Diagnosing and/or Fixing Problems (Part 1)
- Nonlinearity
- Nonconstant Error Variance and Correlated Errors
- Weighted Least Squares and Generalized Least Squares
- "Robust" Standard Errors
- Nonnormality
- Unusual Observations (leverage points, outliers, and influence points)
- Diagnosing and/or Fixing Problems (Part 2)
- Data Missing at Random (conditional on observed data)
- Bounding and Sensitivity Analysis for Data Not Missing at Random
II. Causal Inference
- Introduction
- Potential Outcomes and Causal Effects
- Causal Inference as a Missing Data Problem
- Introductory Causal Inference Activity
- Causal Questions
- Describing Univariate Distributions of Potential Outcomes
- Describing Univariate Distributions of Causal Effects
- Conditional Distributions of Potential Outcomes and Causal Effects
- Causal Questions Not Addressed in the Course
- Randomized Treatment Assignment
- Identification with Randomized and Conditionally Randomized Treatment Assignment
- Estimation, CIs, and Testing with Randomized and Conditionally Randomized Treatment Assignment
- Observational Studies with Measured Confounding
- The Assumption of No Unmeasured Confounding
- Relation to Classical Econometric Assumptions
- Choosing Conditioning Variables
- Regression Based Estimation (Additive and Interactive)
- Diagnosing and/or Fixing Problems
- Assessing Overlap and Balance
- Revising the Question of Interest
- Bounding and Sensitivity Analysis for Unmeasured Confounding