Publications

2024
Loeb, A., et al. Chemical Classification of Spherules Recovered From The Pacific Ocean Site of The CNEOS 2014-01-08 (IM1) Bolide. (2024).
Loeb, A., et al. Recovery and Classification of Spherules from the Pacific Ocean Site of the CNEOS 2014 January 8 (IM1) Bolide. Research Notes of the AAS 8, 1, 39 (2024). Publisher's VersionAbstract
We have conducted an extensive towed-magnetic-sled survey during the period 2023 June 14–28, over the seafloor about 85 km north of Manus Island, Papua New Guinea, centered around the calculated path of the bolide CNEOS 2014 January 8 (IM1). We found about 850 spherules of diameter 0.05–1.3 mm in our samples. They were analyzed by microXRF, Electron Probe Microanalyzer and ICP Mass spectrometry. We identified 22% of the spherules as the product of planetary igneous differentiation and labeled them as D-type spherules. A small portion of the D-spherules show an excess of Be, La and U, by up to three orders of magnitude relative to the solar system standard of CI chondrites, and a composition pattern that is distinctly different from coal fly ash.
2023
Loeb, A. & MacLeod, M. Interstellar Meteors from Tidal Disruption of Rocky Planets on Eccentric Orbits Around M Dwarfs. arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.09399 (2023).
Siraj, A. & Loeb, A. Localizing the First Interstellar Meteor with Seismometer Data. Signals 4, 4, 644–650 (2023). Publisher's VersionAbstract
The first meter-scale interstellar meteor (IM1) was detected by US government sensors in 2014, identified as an interstellar object candidate in 2019, and confirmed by the Department of Defense (DoD) in 2022. We use data from a nearby seismometer to localize the fireball to a ∼16km2 region within the ∼120km2 zone allowed by the precision of the DoD-provided coordinates. The improved localization is of great importance for a forthcoming expedition to retrieve the meteor fragments.
Loeb, A. & Laukien, F. Overview of the Galileo Project. Journal of Astronomical Instrumentation 12, 1, 2340003 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1142/S2251171723400032Abstract

The Galileo Project is the first systematic scientific research program in the search for potential astro-archaeological artifacts or remnants of extraterrestrial technological civilizations (ETCs) or potentially active equipment near Earth. Taking a path not taken, it conceivably may pick some low-hanging fruit, and without asserting probabilities — make discoveries of ETC-related objects, which would have far-reaching implications for science and our worldview.

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Siraj, A., et al. Physical Considerations for an Intercept Mission to a 1I/’Oumuamua-Like Interstellar Object. Journal of Astronomical Instrumentation 12, 1, 2340001 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1142/S2251171723400019Abstract

In this paper, we review some of the extant literature on the study of interstellar objects (ISOs). With the forthcoming Vera C. Rubin Telescope and Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), we find that 0.38−840.38−84 ‘Oumuamua-like interstellar objects are expected to be detected in the next 10 years, with 95% confidence. The feasibility of a rendezvous trajectory has been demonstrated in previous work. In this paper, we investigate the requirements for a rendezvous mission with the primary objective of producing a resolved image of an interstellar object. We outline the rendezvous distances necessary as a function of resolution elements and object size. We expand upon current population synthesis models to account for the size dependency on the detection rates for reachable interstellar objects. We assess the trade-off between object diameter and occurrence rate, and conclude that objects with the size range between a third of the size and the size of ‘Oumuamua will be optimal targets for an imaging rendezvous. We also discuss expectations for surface properties and spectral features of interstellar objects, as well as the benefits of various spacecraft storage locations.

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Complete list of authors: Amir Siraj, Abraham Loeb, Amaya Moro-Martín, Mark Elowitz, Abigail White, Wesley Andrés  Watters, Gary J. Melnick, Richard Cloete, Jonathan Grindlay, and Frank Laukien

Watters, W.A., et al. The Scientific Investigation of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP) Using Multimodal Ground-Based Observatories. Journal of Astronomical Instrumentation 12, 1, 2340006 (2023). doi.org/10.1142/S2251171723400068Abstract

Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP) have resisted explanation and have received little formal scientific attention for 75 years. A primary objective of the Galileo Project is to build an integrated software and instrumentation system designed to conduct a multimodal census of aerial phenomena and to recognize anomalies. Here we present key motivations for the study of UAP and address historical objections to this research. We describe an approach for highlighting outlier events in the high-dimensional parameter space of our census measurements. We provide a detailed roadmap for deciding measurement requirements, as well as a science traceability matrix (STM) for connecting sought-after physical parameters to observables and instrument requirements. We also discuss potential strategies for deciding where to locate instruments for development, testing, and final deployment. Our instrument package is multimodal and multispectral, consisting of (1) wide-field cameras in multiple bands for targeting and tracking of aerial objects and deriving their positions and kinematics using triangulation; (2) narrow-field instruments including cameras for characterizing morphology, spectra, polarimetry, and photometry; (3) passive multistatic arrays of antennas and receivers for radar-derived range and kinematics; (4) radio spectrum analyzers to measure radio and microwave emissions; (5) microphones for sampling acoustic emissions in the infrasonic through ultrasonic frequency bands; and (6) environmental sensors for characterizing ambient conditions (temperature, pressure, humidity, and wind velocity), as well as quasistatic electric and magnetic fields, and energetic particles. The use of multispectral instruments and multiple sensor modalities will help to ensure that artifacts are recognized and that true detections are corroborated and verifiable. Data processing pipelines are being developed that apply state-of-the-art techniques for multi-sensor data fusion, hypothesis tracking, semi-supervised classification, and outlier detection.

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Complete list of authors: Wesley Andrés Watters, Abraham Loeb, Frank Laukien, Richard Cloete, Alex Delacroix, Sergei Dobroshinsky, Benjamin Horvath, Ezra Kelderman, Sarah Little, Eric Masson, Andrew Mead, Mitch Randall, Forrest Schultz, Matthew Szenher, Foteini Vervelidou, Abigail White, Angelique Ahlström, Carol Cleland, Spencer Dockal, Natasha Donahue, Mark Elowitz, Carson Ezell, Alex Gersznowicz, Nicholas Gold, Michael G. Hercz, Eric Keto, Kevin H. Knuth, Anthony Lux, Gary J. Melnick, Amaya Moro-Martín, Javier Martin-Torres, Daniel Llusa Ribes, Paul Sail, Massimo Teodorani, John Joseph Tedesco, Gerald Thomas Tedesco, Michelle Tu, and Maria-Paz Zorzano

Keto, E. & Watters, W.A. Detection of Moving Objects in Earth Observation Satellite Images. Journal of Astronomical Instrumentation 12, 1, 2340007 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1142/S225117172340007XAbstract

Moving objects have characteristic signatures in multi-spectral images made by Earth observation satellites that use push broom scanning. While the general concept is applicable to all satellites of this type, each satellite design has its own unique imaging system and requires unique methods to analyze the characteristic signatures. We assess the feasibility of detecting moving objects and measuring their velocities in one particular archive of satellite images made by Planet Labs Corporation with their constellation of SuperDove satellites. Planet Labs data presents a particular challenge in that the images in the archive are mosaics of individual exposures and therefore do not have unique time stamps. We explain how the timing information can be restored indirectly. Our results indicate that the movement of common transportation vehicles, airplanes, cars, and boats, can be detected and measured.

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Mead, A., et al. Multi-Band Acoustic Monitoring of Aerial Signatures. Journal of Astronomical Instrumentation 12, 1, 2340005 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1142/S2251171723400056Abstract

The acoustic monitoring, omni-directional system (AMOS) in the Galileo Project is a passive, multi-band, field microphone suite designed to aid in the detection and characterization of aerial phenomena. Acoustic monitoring augments the Project’s electromagnetic sensors suite by providing a relatively independent physical signal modality with which to validate the identification of known phenomena and to more fully characterize detected objects. The AMOS system spans infrasonic frequencies down to 0.05Hz, all of audible, and ultrasonic frequencies up to 190kHz. It uses three distinct systems with overlapping bandwidths: infrasonic (0.05Hz – 20Hz), audible (10Hz – 20kHz), and ultrasonic (16kHz – 190kHz). The sensors and their capture devices allow AMOS to monitor and characterize the tremendous range of sounds produced by natural and human-made aerial phenomena, and to encompass possible acoustic characteristics of novel sources.

Sound signals from aerial objects can be captured and classified with a single microphone under the following conditions: the sound reaches the sensor; the sound level is above ambient noise; and the signal has not been excessively distorted by the transmission path. A preliminary examination of the signal and noise environment required for the detection and characterization of aerial objects, based on theoretical and empirical equations for sound attenuation in air, finds that moderately loud audible sources (100dB) at 1km are detectable, especially for frequencies below 1kHz and in quiet, rural environments. Infrasonic sources are detectable at much longer distances and ultrasonic at much shorter distances.

Preliminary aircraft recordings collected using the single, omni-directional audible microphone are presented, along with basic spectral analysis. Such data will be used in conjunction with flight transponder data to develop algorithms and corresponding software for quickly identifying known aircraft and characterizing the sound transmission path.

Future work will include multi-sensor audible and infrasonic arrays for sound localization; analysis of larger and more diverse data sets; and exploration of machine learning and artificial intelligence integration for the detection and identification of many more types of known phenomena in all three frequency bands.

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Complete list of authors: Andrew Mead, Sarah Little, Paul Sail, Michelle Tu, Wesley Andrés Watters, Abigail White, and Richard Cloete

Randall, M., et al. SkyWatch: A Passive Multistatic Radar Network for the Measurement of Object Position and Velocity. Journal of Astronomical Instrumentation 12, 1, 2340004 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1142/S2251171723400044Abstract

Quantitative three-dimensional (3D) position and velocity estimates obtained by passive radar will assist the Galileo Project in the detection and classification of aerial objects by providing critical measurements of range, location, and kinematics. These parameters will be combined with those derived from the Project’s suite of electromagnetic sensors and used to separate known aerial objects from those exhibiting anomalous kinematics. SkyWatch, a passive multistatic radar system based on commercial broadcast FM radio transmitters of opportunity, is a network of receivers spaced at geographical scales that enables estimation of the 3D position and velocity time series of objects at altitudes up to 80km, horizontal distances up to 150km, and at velocities to ±2±2km/s (±6±6Mach). The receivers are designed to collect useful data in a variety of environments varying by terrain, transmitter power, relative transmitter distance, adjacent channel strength, etc. In some cases, the direct signal from the transmitter may be large enough to be used as the reference with which the echoes are correlated. In other cases, the direct signal may be weak or absent, in which case a reference is communicated to the receiver from another network node via the internet for echo correlation. Various techniques are discussed specific to the two modes of operation and a hybrid mode. Delay and Doppler data are sent via internet to a central server where triangulation is used to deduce time series of 3D positions and velocities. A multiple receiver (multistatic) radar experiment is undergoing Phase 1 testing, with several receivers placed at various distances around the Harvard–Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics (CfA), to validate full 3D position and velocity recovery. The experimental multistatic system intermittently records raw data for later processing to aid development. The results of the multistatic experiment will inform the design of a compact, economical receiver intended for deployment in a large-scale, mass-deployed mesh network. Such a network would greatly increase the probability of detecting and recording the movements of aerial objects with anomalous kinematics suggestive of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP).

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Complete list of authors: Mitch Randall, Alex Delacroix, Carson Ezell, Ezra Kelderman, Sarah Little, Abraham Loeb, Eric Masson, Wesley Andrés Watters, Richard Cloete, and Abigail White

Szenher, M., et al. A Hardware and Software Platform for Aerial Object Localization. Journal of Astronomical Instrumentation 12, 1, 2340002 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1142/S2251171723400020Abstract
To date, there are little reliable data on the position, velocity and acceleration characteristics of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP). The dual hardware and software system described in this document provides a means to address this gap. We describe a weatherized multi-camera system which can capture images in the visible, infrared and near infrared wavelengths. We then describe the software we will use to calibrate the cameras and to robustly localize objects-of-interest in three dimensions. We show how object localizations captured over time will be used to compute the velocity and acceleration of airborne objects.
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Complete list of authors: Matthew Szenher, Alex Delacroix, Eric Keto, Sarah Little, Mitch Randall, Wesley Andres Watters, Eric Masson, and Richard Cloete

Cloete, R., et al. Integrated Computing Platform for Detection and Tracking of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP). Journal of Astronomical Instrumentation 12, 1, (2023). Publisher's VersionAbstract
The Galileo Project aims to shed light on the nature and characteristics of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP). We are developing a multi-modal instrumentation suite that will monitor the sky in seven electromagnetic and three audio bands. Computing will play a critical role in this project, enabling the automated collection and processing of data.
In this paper, we provide a brief overview of data sources, and describe our plan for computing infrastructure and architecture. We present a proposed real-time pipeline for distinguishing between natural and human-made phenomena, and for detecting objects that fall outside the phenomenological envelope of known phenomena. In addition, we outline the algorithms we will test and evaluate for use in offline data analysis.
While preliminary, our work represents a significant step towards a unified data capture and analysis platform for the systematic detection and rigorous scientific study of unusual aerial phenomena in a regional airspace.
s2251171723400081.pdf

Complete list of authors: Richard Cloete, Phillip Bridgham, Sergei Dobroshinsky, Carson Ezell, Andriy Fedorenko, Frank Laukien, Sarah Little, Abraham Loeb, Eric Masson, Matthew Szenher, Wesley Andrés Watters, Abigail White

2022
Siraj, A. & Loeb, A. The New Astronomical Frontier of Interstellar Objects. Astrobiology 22, 12, 1459–1470 (2022).
Siraj, A. & Loeb, A. Interstellar Meteors Are Outliers in Material Strength. The Astrophysical Journal Letters 941, 2, L28 (2022). Publisher's VersionAbstract
The first interstellar meteor larger than dust was detected by US government sensors in 2014, identified as an interstellar object candidate in 2019, and confirmed by the Department of Defense in 2022. Here, we describe an additional interstellar object candidate in the CNEOS fireball catalog and compare the implied material strength of the two objects, referred to here as IM1 and IM2, respectively. IM1 and IM2 are ranked first and third in terms of material strength out of all 273 fireballs in the CNEOS catalog. Fitting a log-normal distribution to material strengths of objects in the CNEOS catalog, IM1 and IM2 are outliers at the levels of 3.5σ and 2.6σ, respectively. The random sampling and Gaussian probabilities, respectively, of picking two objects with such high material strength from the CNEOS catalog are ∼10−4 and ∼10−6. If IM2 is confirmed, this implies that interstellar meteors come from a population with material strength characteristically higher than meteors originating from within the solar system. Additionally, we find that if the two objects are representative of a background population on random trajectories, their combined detections imply that ∼40% of all refractory elements are locked in meter-scale interstellar objects. Such a high abundance seemingly defies a planetary system origin.
Siraj, A. & Loeb, A. A Meteor of Apparent Interstellar Origin in the CNEOS Fireball Catalog. The Astrophysical Journal 939, 1, 53 (2022). Publisher's VersionAbstract
The earliest confirmed interstellar object, ‘Oumuamua, was discovered in the solar system by Pan-STARRS in 2017, allowing for a calibration of the abundance of interstellar objects of its size ∼100 m. This was followed by the discovery of Borisov, which allowed for a similar calibration of its size ∼0.4–1 km. One would expect a much higher abundance of significantly smaller interstellar objects, with some of them colliding with Earth frequently enough to be noticeable. Based on the CNEOS catalog of bolide events, we identify the ∼0.45 m meteor detected at 2014 January 8 17:05:34 UTC as originating from an unbound hyperbolic orbit. The U.S. Department of Defense has released an official letter stating that “the velocity estimate reported to NASA is sufficiently accurate to indicate an interstellar trajectory,” which we rely on here as confirmation of the object’s interstellar trajectory. Based on the data provided by CNEOS, we infer that the meteor had an asymptotic speed of v ∞ ∼ 42.1 ± 5.5 km s−1 outside of the solar system. Note that v ∞ here refers to the velocity of the meteor outside the solar system, not the velocity of the meteor outside the atmosphere. Its origin is approximately toward R.A. 49.°4 ± 4.°1 and decl. 11.°2 ± 1.°8, implying that its initial velocity vector was 58 ± 6 km s−1 away from the velocity of the local standard of rest (LSR).