Week 2: What Predictions Matter and How Are They Made?

1. What would you, personally, most like to know about the future? 
Phrase your answer as a question, and explain it in just a few sentences.  The question can relate to your own personal future, or a societal-level future.

2. Think about ways that people (not necessarily you) anywhere, today, would seek predictive answers to the question you posed above. Write just a few paragraphs (not more than the equivalent of 1 page) about the predictive systems the person seeking to the answer to your question might use.  Consider questions such as: When/where did the system originate? Is it likely to be reliable? How can you evaluate uncertainty using it? Would you use this system? in answering this part.  No need to answer all of these sample questions, and feel free to include other thoughts--our goal as a group in our Seminar meeting in Week 2, will be to discuss the nature of various predictive systems in the context of the questions you raise.