2021 Survey Results

The 2021 SCOTUSpoll Survey was conducted by YouGov using a nationally representative sample of 2,158 U.S. adult residents interviewed online between April 7–16, 2021. The poll’s margin of error is ± 2.3%. 

The purpose of the survey is to assess how people would feel about the actual case outcomes as opposed to the legal arguments or jurisprudential considerations. We therefore selected major cases from the 2020-2021 term as identified by important media outlets and other Court observers. 

Looking at responses over the cases asked about, the public is slightly more likely to take the liberal (51.8%) than the conservative (48.2%) position. 

The public is narrowly divided on several prominent issues such as whether the tax penalty in the Affordable Care Act is constitutional, whether governments can bar foster agencies that refuse to place children with same-sex couples, and how states handle election integrity claims versus concerns about vote suppression.

A link to a detailed summary of the 2021 SCOTUSPoll Survey results is here.

This poll is coordinated by Stephen Jessee (UT-Austin), Neil Malhotra (Stanford), and Maya Sen (Harvard).